Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 67.199361 75.945429 84.930375 94.818306 105.362880 116.241553 128.283431
2025-03-30 54.691317 67.282358 80.832519 96.366920 113.557451 131.882734 152.780447
2025-04-06 45.919467 60.429893 76.615403 95.735309 117.448946 141.111316 168.622374
2025-04-13 38.249957 53.779789 71.706454 93.472555 118.764110 146.851083 180.038772
2025-04-20 35.087452 51.974978 71.990677 96.794037 126.095074 159.070475 198.471750
2025-04-27 31.858618 49.701860 71.401287 98.813995 131.694613 169.146249 214.342919
2025-05-04 27.892007 46.096238 68.863847 98.216960 133.982491 175.219153 225.479271
2025-05-11 24.322150 42.661223 66.255473 97.284984 135.664137 180.421919 235.475298
2025-05-18 21.875278 40.507537 65.091218 97.982672 139.184247 187.692156 247.809096
2025-05-25 19.250992 37.855392 63.082658 97.451733 141.071345 192.924091 257.673983
2025-06-01 17.238661 35.896058 61.848133 97.788900 143.936115 199.258675 268.794871
2025-06-08 14.982557 33.347465 59.643242 96.724512 144.938145 203.260969 277.076411
2025-06-15 13.716609 32.249175 59.409816 98.255781 149.253267 211.366080 290.386912
2025-06-22 12.638479 31.351926 59.396764 100.041598 153.877168 219.856154 304.190521
2025-06-29 10.995779 29.333178 57.638055 99.364567 155.258407 224.295766 313.054991
2025-07-06 9.129776 26.689762 54.789693 97.055455 154.413283 225.891317 318.395221
2025-07-13 8.790062 26.787608 56.051355 100.451079 161.038726 236.824160 335.172119
2025-07-20 8.179816 26.306330 56.384294 102.516169 165.898629 245.543906 349.247767
2025-07-27 7.066966 24.703731 54.879897 101.905849 167.159589 249.697831 357.683987
2025-08-03 6.008898 23.052145 53.193039 100.953101 167.902959 253.154778 365.230444
2025-08-10 5.354179 22.164673 52.683305 101.666349 170.862023 259.416977 376.254513
2025-08-17 4.561277 20.833649 51.359271 101.123572 172.074839 263.418809 384.448090
2025-08-24 3.984459 19.910359 50.661769 101.468260 174.471681 268.926447 394.518862